As we start winding down another season, business appears to be steady with ample supplies of most produce items. But historically demand starts to rise sharply at the end of October while supplies concentrate on the West Coast. If growers budget enough volume and Mother Nature cooperates markets generally stabilize after an initial boost but if weather turns extreme or even moderately above or below normal supplies can be affected causing extreme jumps in the market and extending into the Holiday season. A few shippers are claiming minimally reduced acreage for the upcoming Winter season and the Farmers Almanac is predicting wetter than normal West Coast and colder than normal East Coast expect a few turbulent markets ahead.
Weather continues to fluctuate around the country. All of California including the Coast is expected to have a hot offshore flow this week raising temps well above normal before returning to normal for next week . Long term weather shows a significant drop in temperatures by the 26th of October through the first few days of November. Coming off a cold weekend around the rest of the country , temps return to normal (although “norms” are dropping a couple degrees per day) until significant cooling returns November 1st.
Truck availability remains good but rates are stubbornly holding steady. There continues to be heavy solicitation for business which will keep pressure on rates to go lower eventually. As always advance notice will give you the advantage of best rates.
LETTUCE- Transition to the Central Valley will start this week with some lettuce shippers having supplies in both regions .There are a few shippers who do not have a Central Valley operation and choose to stretch their Salinas Valley and Yuma districts. Early reports from Huron show irregular size and some quality issues due to overspray and/or tomato virus. Neither is uncommon for the initial Central Valley lettuce crop. Best quality for this week will be from Salinas but with warm weather expected throughout the week conditions could change rapidly. The market has gradually firmed up as shippers are apprehensive about their transitional supplies. With a wide range in quality from both districts loading fresh lettuce is top priority.
BROCCOLI- After cool weather last week supplies have lightened and most shippers are firming prices especially on crowns . Warm weather should help promote growth and the market should stabilize by the end of the week. Occasional volume deals are still available on bunch. Quality is mostly very good with occasional pin rot. Central Valley production should start next week which will also help contain pricing.
CAULIFLOWER- Much like broccoli last weeks cooler weather should help slow production temporarily but inventories are high and warmer weather will put further pressure on the market to remain weak. Volume deals are currently available. Quality remains good. If enough “Hot” Deals are struck the market may have a chance to rebound next week as there are no new districts to support and local homegrown production is nearing an end.
LEAF ITEMS- Romaine and Romaine Hearts continue to be weak with lower pricing. Demand on green and redleaf is also flat. Wide range in quality . Similar to lettuce but to a lesser extent, a few shippers will transition their mix lettuce program to the Central Valley by next week. Similar wide ranging quality issues exist in the Romaine as in Iceberg lettuce. Homegrown supplies are getting weaker by the day so increased demand is expected soon than later .
CELERY- Market continues to be stable with occasional volume offerings .Michigan is winding down production which will be offset by start up production in Oxnard. Many wholesalers amp; retailers have already contracted their Holiday volume which will help shippers firm their pricing in a couple weeks.
ASPARAGUS– Production from Mexico continues to be limited and demand has stayed strong. Quality continues to improve weekly. Supplies look to be on track for Holiday promotions.
GREEN ONION- Production has leveled off and demand continues to be weak especially on small size Green Onions. Pricing on medium and large sizes are slightly higher.
BRUSSELS SPROUTS- Increased supplies and lighter demand has prices headed lower. Although similar to Celery, demand for November promotions will likely prop the market back up by early November. Take advantage of good values while supplies last.
STRAWBERRIES- Production and quality continue to wind down in Salinas / Watsonville and picking up in Oxnard and eventually Mexico via McAllen. With the newer districts increased supplies of QUALITY fruit the top end market should stabilize. There continues to be discounts for West Coast quality fruit . Raspberry prices are slightly higher for the best quality labels. Limited production continues with strong demand on Blackberries. New districts will also help supplies on Raspberry and Blackberries.
GRAPES- The market on Green and Red grapes is stronger as most shippers continue transitioning into their late season varieties. Quality continues to be excellent due to the ideal weather throughout the Summer season in the Central Valley.

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